Mini Ice Age? (Page 37) duncan124: "Thermosphere Climate Index today: 4.13x1010 W Cold " Spaceweather. A greater sudden change than we saw most of the summer but not as big as the mentioned on the previous page. It is a good assumption that Storm Dorian caused this rapid change and also the complete change in the skys which are now cloudy with wreaths of clouds. Coming at the faint start of the Fall may have increased the effects of the storm. But as the Solar Minimum progresses is it likely that there will be more of these monster storms and is it possible that there could be two together as we have sometimes see before?? At the moment we have to guess if it was an effect of the cloud mass that pushed warmer air in to the higher atmosphere or of it was an accelerated rate of change over a steep gradient from the wintery South to the exceptionally warm North, or something else, that caused the sudden change in the Index. duncan124: SWE looks at the Dorian and Gabrielle and their predicted paths over the next few days as they are both expected between Scotland and Iceland. http://www.severe-weather.eu/mcd/potential-is-increasing-for-the-extra-tropical-storm-ex-gabrielle-to-hit-n-uk-and-faroe-islands-mid-next-week/ Could two of these storms pile up together as sometimes happens in the Far East and around Scotland??? duncan124: " VICTORIA EXPERIENCES RECORD COLD AUGUST: MULTIPLE SITES AVERAGE THEIR COLDEST MONTH EVER + LOOMING GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM SEPTEMBER 4, 2019 According to the official climate report from Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), “both daytime and night-time temperatures were colder-than-average during August [in the state of Victoria].” https://electroverse.net/victoria-experiences-record-cold-august-multiple-sites-average-their-coldest-month-ever-looming-grand-solar-minimum/ duncan124: That is not the right language The Hating. "...chiefly of environmental pollution and pollutants) originating in human activity. "anthropogenic emissions of sulphur dioxide" Google If you had said " debunks Global Warming models " then you would have a scientific argument. Not least because some areas are warmer and some are cooler. duncan124: " Record south stratospheric warming brings cold to Australia and even reduces the size of the ozone hole! " http://www.severe-weather.eu/recent-events/stratospheric-warming-ozone-hole/  theHating: Hmmmm, well I'm no stranger to cold water. Do you believe the human element is overwhelming the natural ones? duncan124: Which element is the Human element?? Humans destroyed the environment and have rebuilt much of it in a very short sighted way with little regard for the how and why Nature left it as it did. The hard surface of the Earth has all been altered by man and that seem to be the most obvious reason for climate change. duncan124: SWEs excellent page about winter temperatures. http://www.severe-weather.eu/news/winter-2018-2019-ranking/ It seems to agree with what I remember about the early 1980s being extremely cold and with all the effects mentioned in historic diaries etc , such as sea ice , frozen trees and endless frosts. duncan124: " 2019 IOD event developing into one of the strongest on record, Extreme rainfall expected in Eastern Africa" The Watchers. An irregular oscillation of sea surface temperatures gets bigger? Solar Minimum extreme weather?? https://watchers.news/2019/09/17/indian-ocean-dipole-iod-2019-strongest-on-record/ duncan124: Ditto flooding storms in Texas. "Severe flash flooding in SE Texas! More than 900 mm of rain, from tropical depression Imelda."SWE http://www.severe-weather.eu/news/severe-flash-flooding-in-texas/ Always liable to flooding Texas got only 9cm of rain , even the UK can get 5cm, but over a large area. duncan124: 18 days without a sunspot. We could be right to expect one small one soon as that has been the pattern for some time now So this years longest stretch wont be anything like the greats on the Sunspot league table. But these longish periods without a spot add up to a bigger total then some years with long stretches. Also the Sunspots are few when they occur, often one at a time now, while other years may have had more. I think the repeated singular sunspot means that something on the surface of the Sun has altered since the mid 1800s if not more recently. duncan124: Calm waters??? "Imelda continues dumping heavy rain on parts of the Southeast Texas, already the 5th wettest tropical cyclone for the contiguous US." The Watchers. https://watchers.news/2019/09/19/imelda-flood-texas-september-2019/ "The storm has been declared the 5th wettest tropical cyclone for the contiguous US. Several areas outside Houston has faced more than 254 mm (10 inches) of rain since September 17. Beaumont received 305 mm to 508 mm (12 inches to 20 inches) of rain, while Jefferson County has received more than 762 mm (30 inches)." Storms on the spot seem the logical coincidence after longest latest highest snow falls in Colorado. But is it really still mainland Former USA?? duncan124: The party at 72%. " Century-class Solar Minimum in progress" " The Sun was blank more than 89% of the time from June 22 - September 22, with only 6 brief and tiny sunspots and not a single significant solar flare during this period of extreme quiet, Dr. Tony Phillips of the SpaceWeather reports...." The watchers. https://watchers.news/2019/09/25/century-class-solar-minimum-in-progress/ duncan124: Pundits predict even more of the same, - but remember you read 'More of the Same in a Solar Minimum' here first. " Historic early-season snowstorm threatens Northern Rockies, USA " " An early-season snowstorm which could bring record-breaking impacts is threatening portions of the Northern Rockies. Such storm has not occurred in the area since 1934, the National Weather Service (NWS) said. Winter Storm Watches have been issued across portions of northwestern Montana. The heaviest snow and most extreme conditions are forecast to occur on Saturday and Sunday, September 29 and 29, 2019." https://watchers.news/2019/09/26/historic-early-season-snowstorm-montana-rockies/ duncan124: Thermosphere Climate Index jumps to 4.42 after hanging around 4.20. " Thermosphere Climate Index today: 4.42x1010 W Cold " Spaceweather 29.09.19 After a long time with little change during the summer the index has been jumping several points upwards as winter approaches and as more complex weather systems arrive. duncan124: A small Sunspot breaks the run today. Leaving a total of 29 or 30 days without a spot. Not enough to give a straight record or place in the big league but coming after so many other longish stretches without spots causes concern that a new phase in the Suns behaviour might be beginning. At 73% spotless so far this year is set to be a big hitter in the overall percentage league. And next year could be worse. duncan124: The Thermosphere Climate Index jumps to 4.67. At this rate we might see a dizzy 5 by the middle of October "Thermosphere Climate Index today: 4.67x1010 W Cold" Spaceweather. 01,10,19 duncan124: "That's right. Hurricane Lambert didn't cause the strangely colored sunset. The Raikoke volcano did. Located in Russia's Kuril islands, Raikoke erupted on June 22nd, pushing volcanic aerosols high into the stratosphere. They're still up there. Apparently, one of the sulfurous plumes followed Hurricane Lambert across Ireland Oct 3rd, painting the sunset sky with unusual color" Spaceweather Storms could be the stirring spoon Solar minimum weather needs to suddenly bring bigger changes. Less weather must mean less disturbed material in the atmosphere duncan124: The Sunspot barely lasted a day and the Current Stretch is now two days after nearly a 30 day stretch before the spot. duncan124: The Grand Solar Minimum...weakest in 200 years is next...less solar wind ...more Cosmic Rays...cause more rain fall people claim. But I don;t believe volcanic aerosols from the Kuril islands decided to go to Ireland duncan124: " Two natural events are suspected as the main source of the violet twilight currently seen worldwide: the eruption of the Raikoke volcano Kuril Islands, followed by eruption of the Ulawun volcano in Papua New Guinea this past summer. Both eruptions packed a punch, sending dust and ash into to stratosphere topping out at 60,000 feet (18,300 meters)." Universetoday.com https://www.universetoday.com/143398/tracking-twilight-purple-sunset-effect-seen-worldwide/ "Volcanoes may not be the only culprit. Benjamin Knispel on Twitter mentions that European observers were already noticing the purple cast of twilight this summer, before the eruptions took place. Ongoing fires in Indonesia, the Amazon, and the Siberian Arctic may be exacerbating the situation, adding dust and greenhouse gasses to an already saturated atmosphere. Another modern atmospheric phenomenon seen at high latitudes during the summertime in recent years are noctilucent clouds" Universetoday adds. But hold on, did n't Spaceweather also say something before about these purple skys about thetime of the exceptional Noctilucent Clouds?? So is the real reason something in the Former USA?? Something that is also causing colder winters??? duncan124: The Watchers reports another eruption at Sheveluch under the title " Strong Puff ". https://watchers.news/2019/10/06/sheveluch-eruption-october-6-2019/ It is s little difficult to see in the videos amongst the clouds but I think it is the straight line shadow in the top third. So I also guess things are looking cold in the Former USA and we should look out for colourful sunsets. | Science Chat Room 1 Person Chatting Similar Conversations |
