Mini Ice Age? (Page 45)

duncan124:

Twin cyclones coming this way!!

The twin storms are yet another in a series of North Atlantic Storms, but are they a result of the Less equals More weather of a Solar Minimum??

...or are they something else? Perhaps related somehow to the twin coronal holes we have seen or indeed the new cycle 25s sunspots which seem to still have the characteristic two sides or parts even if they are not formed completely yet??? ...both connected to earth by the Solar wind and cosmic rays.

Todays Oulu Neutron Counts +10.9% ( Max: +11.7%) From Spaceweather

Allowing for errors and changes in the environment that's pretty close to the all time Max indicating the earth Magnetic Shield is very low. Didn't scientists say to expect storms as cosmic rays increased??

SWEs report on the twin storms.

https://www.severe-weather.eu/mcd/north-atlantic-update-twin-cyclones-mk/

duncan124:

The storms in the North Atlantic have spent some days battering Iceland with record winds before heading closer to the UK this weekend

Iceland is where the nearest "strato " volcano likely to cause a sky darkening event is but the series of powerful storms have not caused any volcanic activity so far.

Meaning that movements in the ocean caused the previous events there and not the storms that were far weaker at that time???

Meantime far south in the jungles of Ecuador....



Reventador volcano erupting in 2017.

Would n't a small volcano like Reventador cause a bigger change in the weather if it happened in one of these storms??

duncan124:


After a long weekend with storm Dennis howling around the windows people were fairly dreary early in the morning and reminded me a little of when I worked in the polar regions for a couple of weeks.

A crack has appeared in Earth's Magnetic Field and even wood pigeons could become confused ...and yet another storm is forming in the North Atlantic and heading towards Europe.

Now would be a good time to write your Classic Sci Fi novel as historians and critics could refer to all these resonances that could have inspired your act of creation.

duncan124:

The solar quiet could last for decades and so these storms could return endlessly for years.

Time for another video to inspire your vision of awful devastation ....in the Romantic style, as we are close to St Valentines day and the Feast of St Paul, celebrating his shipwreck.

duncan124:

SWE ponders the symmetrical Polar Vortex and the record cold without remembering this is a side effect of a Solar Minimum .

https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/lower-stratosphere-cold-vortex-ozone-spring-fa/

With less solar wind the Earths magnetosphere strongly influences events on Earth. This is well published science.

Sir Loin: A problem with this is there is less filtering of Uv so melanoma rates increase

Sir Loin: Any idea what happens to the magnetosphere during a polar reversal Dunc?

duncan124:

I don't know about a Magnetic Polar Reversal. Spaceweather had an explanation of the effects of sunlight and cold in the polar sky,- it depletes the ozone allowing more UV through.

There are lots of papers about the effect of Earths Magnetosphere on gasses. When the Magnetosphere is undisturbed gasses will keep on moving more the right way.

Another example of the Less is More of a Solar Minimum.

duncan124:

The PV has lost its symmetry and now stretches down to New Found Land.

This could be due to the cold in the landscape there , and a question is does the UV cause more storms there or if it even reaches that far down.

duncan124:

Yet another storm on Monday and Tuesday. SWE reports.

https://www.severe-weather.eu/mcd/another-intense-storm-uk-ireland-snow-mk/

So far it has been short bursts of rain compared to " normal " and strong winds in gusts. Or so it seems.

But this one is going to bring snow, SWE forecasts.

And between the storms it is mild or warm.

SWE tends to show the worst as the main feature when in fact things are a lot less for a lot longer and the worst does n't go on for so long.

I guess this one will be compared to other named storms to see if there is enough will power for weather watchers to tell the truth.

duncan124:

How common were twin storms??

And have n't you heard about them before in a Sci fi movie????? Do you remember the reasoning behind that science??

https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/twins-northwest-pacific-today-cyclones-mk/

SWE spots twin storms again, there is a link to the twins of the 12th of Feb , in the Pacific this time.

Are they related to the BSE disease, when everything had two or more heads????

duncan124:

Parallel lives, if not twins.

SWE looks at the two storms around northern Australia .

https://www.severe-weather.eu/tropical-weather/two-tropical-systems-ferdinand-esther-mk/

Indeed, there has been several giant twin storms in the Pacific. Who knows why???

duncan124:

Yet another storm this weekend. Storm Jorge is expected to reach Ireland by early Saturday.

NASA has spotted active regions on the dark side of the Sun, and of course there are two of them.

The PV has rotated even faster then before and of course blew out a lot of cold air as it stretched around the Labrador sea.

And Europe and America are expecting snow.

The hawthorn is in bloom in the hedge rows so it might be the start of spring.

duncan124:

2020 has entered the league table with a Spotless stretch lasting 30 days, and now is alongside 1954,1933 and 1902.

2019 reached 10th place with 40 days between November and December so 2020 still could achieve a lot more.

With no spots in sight its a good guess 2020 will step in to joint 17th place tomorrow alongside 1900 , 1912,1933 and 2008 .

duncan124:
Yet another storm is heading this way SWE has forecast. And is expected to arrive at the weekend.

This has become a rather suspicious timing as each weekend is having a storm or two.

It seems to hint that something larger is controlling events and the timing.

We must wait to see if SWE is right but it is a good guess that the Solar Minimum is the cause.

The link.

https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/powerful-cyclone-newfoundland-northwest-atlantic-swell-mk/

duncan124:

2020 heads between 2009 and 1867.

As 1867 has 35 days and across the league table there is a lack of years with just these numbers 2020 could well follow the pattern and jump on to the mid league.

But it could on the other hand be the missing part of the puzzle and fall on the '4,'5,'6 side as these stretches seem under represented.

Place your bets.

Meantime the Atlantic storm has turned in to a large depression.

The link.

https://www.severe-weather.eu/mcd/large-north-atlantic-depression-swell-flooding-uk-ireland-mk/

Sir Loin: We have a solar minimum, we have cyclones both hemispheres, a pretty safe bet that they're connected

duncan124:
34 days it was. Bringing 2020 in just behind 1867 and filling a gap in the stats.

Still there is plenty of time and now we know 2020 is going to be historic .

Sir Loin: Thanks for the update Duncan, following this with great interest

duncan124:

Yet another storm on its way. SWE reports.

https://www.severe-weather.eu/mcd/impressive-satellite-cyclone-north-atlantic-mk/


The previous storm forecasts failed to turn in to a storm here, perhaps because the storm was over expected and the alternative, a storm on the east coast of the Former US was seen a different weather system all together.

Still, we know the Labrador Sea and NewFoundland are the sources of this healthy if serious weather,

duncan124:

Looks like today is the end of the northern Polar Vortex.

A quick look on Nullschool showed it was elongating yesterday and today it is falling apart.

Not only that but the weather is both warm and cold in the breeze indicating that the high winds are falling off of the Arctic.. and heading south.

So far it looks like it is going to be another warm year.

Sir Loin: Cyclone season here is kicking off with a tropical low developing in the Coral Sea and expected to grow into a cat3 cyclone then head this way. They do cause problems if they roll down the east coast of NZ, which is where I live

duncan124:

Australia has experience a sequence of cyclones -often called Invest#, since the end of the wildfires.

I guess this is due to slight changes at the start of Solar Cycle 25 after a long calm and indeed more of the solar quiet weather.

Sir Loin: Odd that, I would have thought cyclones would become less frequent after a solar minimum.

duncan124:

Not a great surprise, but the Polar Vortex is breaking on Canada and North America where is usually get stuck.

With one break maybe on the northernest west coast side of Canada there could be a lot of cold air helping to make it rain across the Former USA.

As we have already had a record wet February maybe this year will be warm with more rain???